Tuesday, March 13, 2012

Oil prices down near US$117 a barrel after overnight record

Oil prices were lower Wednesday after climbing in the previous session to a record near US$120 a barrel on the weakening U.S. dollar and concerns about unstable supply amid firm global demand.

Light, sweet crude for June delivery fell 88 cents to US$117.19 in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange by the afternoon in Europe.

The May contract, which expired Tuesday, rose as high as US$119.90 in its last trading session and closed at US$119.37. The more active June contract, now the front-month, settled at US$118.07 a barrel, up US$1.44.

Oil is now nearly double its closing price a year ago, and up 24 percent in 2008.

In London, Brent crude fell 82 cents to US$115.13 a barrel on the ICE Futures exchange.

Trading volume was thin as the market awaited inventory data from the U.S. Energy Department.

The dollar's drop to a record low Tuesday against the euro helped draw more funds from investors who see commodities such as oil as a hedge against inflation and a falling dollar. A weaker greenback also makes oil cheaper for investors overseas.

On Wednesday, the euro was down against the U.S. dollar, a day after it breached US$1.60 to a record high.

In midday trading, the 15-nation currency bought US$1.5890, below the high of US$1.6018 it reached Tuesday. The dollar was also stronger against the Japanese currency, rising to 103.30 yen from 103.09 yen Tuesday.

"The bulls are certainly in control of the oil market right now," said Victor Shum, an energy analyst with Purvin & Gertz in Singapore. "The dollar continues to face a lot of pressure, it is likely to further weaken and that will continue to underpin prices."

Many analysts expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates further this year to try to shore up the ailing U.S. economy, a move that would likely further weaken the dollar.

Supply constraints also supported prices. A Royal Dutch Shell PLC joint venture declared what's known as force majeure on April and May oil delivery contracts from a 400,000-barrel-a-day Nigerian oil field due to a pipeline attack last week. The move protects the company from litigation if it fails to deliver on contractual obligations to buyers.

In Mexico, oil production slipped 7.8 percent in the first quarter to 2.91 million barrels a day as output at the country's oil fields waned, state oil company Petroleos Mexicanos said. In Scotland, workers at Ineos PLC's 196,000 barrel-a-day Grangemouth refinery and petrochemical plant threatened to strike over changes to an employee pension plan.

At the same time, global oil demand is expected to rise about 1.3 million barrels a day this year to 87.2 million barrels a day, according to the International Energy Agency. China imported a record 4.09 million barrels a day of crude oil last month, final data from its General Administration of Customs showed Tuesday.

"Even though U.S. demand is showing signs of decline, China is going very strong," Shum said.

A major conference of the world's largest oil consumers and producers ended Tuesday with a measured statement about the risks of oil prices. The International Energy Forum, after meeting in Rome this week, said in a statement that "oil prices should be at levels that are acceptable to producers and consumers to ensure global economic growth, particularly in developing countries."

A U.S. government fuel inventory report to be released later Wednesday was expected to show U.S. gasoline inventories fell last week by 2.1 million barrels, according to a Dow Jones Newswires survey of analysts.

Crude oil stocks were expected to increase 1.1 million barrels in the U.S. Energy Department's Energy Information Administration's report, the survey showed.

Stocks of distillate, which includes heating oil and diesel fuel, were expected to fall 300,000 barrels.

In other Nymex trading, heating oil futures fell 2.3 cents to US$3.2939 a gallon (3.8 liters) while gasoline prices were down 1.24 cents to US$3.0004 a gallon.

Natural gas futures were lower by 16.7 cents to US$10.44 per 1,000 cubic feet.

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Associated Press writer Gillian Wong in Singapore contributed to this report.

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